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UFC 100 Predictions: UFC 100 Preview & Predictions
Pro Fighting Fans is the home of UFC fans across the world and we now bring you the best place to find the latest UFC preview & predictions. UFC 99 has come and gone and we take a look at what we learned in our UFC 99 recap.
For more UFC events to be held in 2009 and lists of which Mixed Martial Artists are schedule to fight, be sure to check out the future UFC event fight cards.
The UFC celebrates their historic 100 th show with a card for the ages as titles will be on the line in the Heavyweight & Welterweight divisions. Brock Lesnar and Frank Mir will battle for the title in a much-ballyhooed rematch. One of the best pound for pound fighters in MMA, Georges St. Pierre will defend his title against Thiago “The Pit Bull” Alves. The card also includes a bout between The Ultimate Fighter Season 9 coaches Michael Bisping and Dan Henderson. It’s difficult to comprehend the evolution of the UFC and the sport of Mixed-Martial Arts as a whole. The UFC had success in the early years but nowhere near what it experiences today. In the U.S., the sport was on a rollercoaster filled with ups and downs; on the brink of extinction. Political pressure was applied stating events were barbaric and human cockfighting; under immense scrutiny the UFC hung by a thread but managed to survive. Dana White and the Fertitta brothers purchased the promotion (starting with UFC 30) and began revamping the sport including instituting strict rules and weight classes. Even with the hard labor by White and the Fertittas, profit was hard to find. Then, incredibly, a reality TV show saved the promotion and for all intents and purposes the sport of MMA in the United States. The Ultimate Fighter was born under much skepticism in January of 2005. Future stars such as Josh Koscheck, Diego Sanchez, and Kenny Florian competed on the show but on a monumental night at the Cox Pavilion in Las Vegas, Nevada, Forrest Griffin slugged it out with Stephan Bonnar. The audience continued to grow by word of mouth as each competitor threw everything they had on the line for the six figure contract. The millions of fans watching were caught up in the euphoria of the event; the UFC as we know it was born. Dana White has called this the single most important event in the history of the sport. Since the titanic battle at The Ultimate Fighter Season 1 finale, Forrest Griffin has grown into a household name as his fearless style of fighting led him to winning the UFC Lightweight Heavyweight title. Stephan Bonnar has had an up and down career filled with injuries and has yet to live up to the high expectations. Like a script from a Hollywood, Bonnar will compete at UFC 100 against the original UFC Heavyweight Champion, Mark “The Hammer” Coleman. On July 11 th, think back to the small arenas, goofy introductions and low budget graphics of the early UFC events as you watch one of the greatest productions in all of sports, The Ultimate Fighting Championship.
Light Heavyweight Bout - Mark “The Hammer” Coleman (15-9) vs. “The American Psycho” Stephan Bonnar (14-5):UFC Hall of Famer Mark Coleman made the drop from heavyweight to light heavyweight at UFC 93 where he lost to Shogun Rua. Coleman looked very tired in the 2 nd and 3 rd rounds. The weight cut combined with Coleman’s age proved to be too much for the former Ohio State Wrestling All-American. Stephan Bonnar was completely dominated in his last bout by relatively unknown Jon “Bones” Jones at UFC 94. Bonnar, a crowd favorite, was out of commission for over a year prior to the Jones fight. No doubt the Las Vegas crowd will be looking for the return of the old American Psycho. Prediction: A loss by Bonnar would almost certainly end his UFC career. Coleman’s return to the UFC was a surprise to many but the drop to 205 lbs was even a bigger surprise. Bonnar’s conditioning will be the difference as he gets back to the center of the Octagon with Joe Rogan.
Lightweight Bout - Mac Danzig (19-6-1) vs. Jim Miller (13-2):The winner of Ultimate Fighter Season 6, Mac Danzig is coming off consecutive losses to Clay Guida and Josh Neer dropping his UFC record to 2-2. Danzig has been somewhat disappointing since entering the Octagon. Jim Miller, 2-1 in the UFC, is coming off a tough loss to Gray Maynard at UFC 96. Miller has won 9 of his 13 victories via submission. Prediction: Miller will attempt to get the fight to the ground while Danzig will attempt to create distance. This is a close fight to call but Miller will gain the victory via submission due to a Rear Naked Choke in the 3rd round.
Light Heavyweight Bout - Jon “Bones” Jones (8-0) vs. Jake O’Brien (11-2):Jon “Bones” Jones burst on the UFC scene with a dominating performance against Stephan Bonnar moving his UFC record to 2-0 in the Octagon. Jones is an incredible story, his first pro fight was in April of 2008, he then fought 5 more times before making his UFC debut in August of 2008. Jake O’Brien, 4-2 in the UFC, will bring his extensive wrestling skills into the Octagon. Jake has competed in the heavyweight division competing against the likes of Cain Velasquez, Andrei Arlovski and Heath Herring. Prediction: Bones Jones’ agility and balance were incredible in the Bonnar fight. Make no mistake, O’Brien is far from Bonnar. O’Brien will push the pace and attempt to take the fight to the ground. Jones will want the fight to take place on his feet. A very close fight will end with Bones Jones getting his 1 st lost via Unanimous Decision.
Middleweight Bout - CB Dollaway (9-2) vs. Tom Lawlor (5-1-1):Dollaway, a collegiate wrestler at Arizona State, brings a wealth of potential to the Octagon. After losing to Amir Sadolah at The Ultimate Fighter Season 7 finale, Dollaway defeated Jesse Taylor and Mike Massenzio. Lawlor, a veteran of season 8 of The Ultimate Fighter, will attempt to keep the fight on the ground against the tough wrestler. Lawlor lost on The Ultimate Fighter to Dollaway’s teammate, Ryan Bader. Prediction: Lawlor will find the same fate against Dollaway that he did against Bader, a submission loss. This time it will be via an arm bar in the 2nd round.
Lightweight Bout - Matt Grice (10-2) vs. Shannon Gugerty (11-3):Grice, 1-2 in the UFC, will attempt to save his UFC career with a win against Gugerty. Shannon is 1-1 in the UFC. Prediction: Gugerty wins in the 3rd via a Rear Naked Choke
Middleweight Bout - Yoshihiro Akiyama (12-1) vs. Alan Belcher (13-4):Akiyama makes his much anticipated debut in the UFC after an impressive run in Dream and K-1. Belcher has plenty of Octagon experience holding a 5-3 record in the UFC. Belcher is very aggressive and equally talented on his feet and on the ground. Yoshihiro hasn’t lost since 2005. He brings very good footwork, a good submission game and explosive hands to the cage. Prediction: Akiyama’s all around game and explosiveness will be too much for Belcher. However will do something Akiyama is not use to, take the fight into the 2nd round. Akiyama wins via arm bar in the 2nd round.
Welterweight Bout - Jon Fitch (18-3) vs. Paulo Thiago (11-0):Jon Fitch just plugs along in an unassuming fashion getting little or no credit along the way. Yet, Fitch is 18-3 and 9-1 in the UFC including an 8 fight winning streak. His only lost in the UFC was a loss to GSP via a Unanimous Decision at UFC 87. Paulo Thiago doesn’t look like a fighter, but is 11-0 and 1-0 in the UFC. Thiago appeared to be an appetizer for Josh Koscheck but surprised the wiley veteran with wicked shots in his 1st round victory. Prediction: Jon Fitch loves to slug it out and has one of the best chins in the sport. Thiago is known for his ground game but annihilated Koscheck with wicked strikes. This is an interesting matchup as both fighters try to get a shot at the Welterweight Title. Fitch’s ability to strike and take punches will be the difference as he gains a victory via TKO in the 2nd round.
Middleweight Bout - Dan Henderson (24-7) vs. Michael Bisping (18-1):Dan Henderson is one of the greatest the sport has ever seen. Henderson held both the Light Heavyweight and Middleweight Title in the Pride Fighting Championship. In the UFC, he has lost a title shot against Rampage Jackson at 205 lbs and a shot at the Middleweight Title against Anderson Silva. Henderson defeated the young and impressive Rousimar Pahlares at UFC 88 and legend Rich Franklin at UFC 93. Michael Bisping made the drop from Light Heavyweight to Middleweight after a loss to former Light Heavyweight Champion Rashad Evans. Bisping thought he would be more effective and stronger cutting weight. Now, the true test comes in the form of Dan Henderson. Bisping is very effective on his feet with very good boxing skills. During The Ultimate Fighter Season 9, Henderson was very low key while Bisping was the trash talker. As much as their personalities are different, so are their fighting styles. Prediction: The classic wrestler vs. striker has another layer in this bout. Dan Henderson can strike as well plus he has a chin made out of cast iron. Henderson’s grit and wrestling skills will prove to be the difference as he dominates all three rounds cruising to victory via a unanimous decision. Hopefully, Bisping brings the singing Brits to Las Vegas in the style of boxer, Ricky Hatton.
Welterweight Title Bout - Georges St. Pierre (18-2) vs. Thiago “The Pit Bull” Alves (22-4):Georges St. Pierre is simply one of the greatest pound for pound mixed-martial artists in the world. His athleticism is unmatched and his skill set has dramatically improved over the course of his career. He can dominate from his feet and on the ground. GSP is coming off of an impressive victory over BJ Penn and hasn’t lost since April of 2007 to Matt Serra at UFC 69. Thiago Alves hasn’t lost since June of 2006 at The Ultimate Fight Night 5 when he lost to Jon Fitch. Alves has run off 7 consecutive wins that includes the likes of Chris Lytle, Karo Parisyan, Matt Hughes and Josh Koscheck. This is a great matchup with the power of Alves vs. the speed and grace of GSP. Prediction: GSP has proven he can wins fights no matter the style. He has won with wrestling against the likes of Hughes & Koscheck, in the guard of the great BJ Penn and on his feet defeated Jon Fitch. Alves could be one of his greatest tasks but in typical GSP fashion, he dominates the fight and wins late in the 3rd round via tap out due to a Rear Naked Choke.
UFC 100 Main Event: Heavyweight Title Bout - Brock Lesnar (3-1) vs. Frank Mir (12-3):Frank Mir defeated the inexperienced Lesnar the first time these two faced each other at UFC 81, but it was anything but easy. Brock Lesnar dominated the fight decimating Mir’s face with violent hammer strikes from the mount position. Inexplicably, referee Steve Mazzagatti stood the fight up due to strikes to the back of Mir’s head. Mazzagatti’s call was easily one of the worst in the history of the sport as he also deducted a point. Incredibly, all of this happened in the first 35 seconds of the fight. The fight progressed and within seconds Lesnar pounced again and proceeded to dominate with ground and pound. Mir used one of the best guards in MMA to survive and force Lesnar to his feet. Brock, while on his feet, controlled each of Mir’s legs while trying to pass guard. Mir used his left leg to grab Brock’s right leg and bam, over in seconds with Brock tapping out 1:37 into the 1 st round due to a Ankle Lock. Since that fight, Lesnar pummeled Heath Herring’s face into the size of a watermelon, which might have been an improvement, cruising to an impressive victory. Lesnar then took on one of the greatest in the history of the sport, Randy Couture, for the interim UFC Heavyweight Title. Lesnar again appeared to be more patient as he landed a crushing right hand to Couture’s temple and then finished the fight with several hammer strikes until the referee stopped the bout. Mir has only fought once since the Lesnar bout as he coached against Antonio “Minotauro” Nogueira in season 8 of The Ultimate Fighter. Mir fought Noguiera at UFC 92 for the right to face Lesnar for the title. Mir, shockingly, kept the fight in the stand up and picked Minotauro apart. Mir has overcome a serious motorcycle injury and climbed back to the upper echelon of the heavyweight division. Now his goal is clear, become the Heavyweight Champion once again. Prediction: Lesnar is now more seasoned and likely will assert more patience than the first matchup. In the end, Lesnar’s pure power and athleticism will be too much for Mir as he ends the fight in the 2nd round via TKO due to strikes. Lesnar, the former WWE champion, will hold the undisputed UFC Heavyweight Title on July 11th in Las Vegas.
UFC logo & fighter pictures used with permission from the Ultimate Fighting Championship Past UFC Previews, Predictions & Projections:
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